Bloomberg's estimation is based on vaccination rollout. The site has built what they claim is "the biggest database of COVID-19 shots given around the world," charting the delivery of more than 186 million shots as of Feb. 17. They are measuring the progress of different countries around the globe via their vaccine tracker, and based on their latest estimations, it'll take a little under five years—4.9, to be exact—for the COVID pandemic to end.
"U.S. science officials such as Anthony Fauci have suggested it will take 70 percent to 85 percent coverage of the population for things to return to normal," the outlet explains. This is the level at which enough of the population is vaccinated so that the virus cannot continue to freely circulate.
"Globally, the latest vaccination rate is 6,337,917 doses per day, on average," Bloomberg says. "At this rate, it will take an estimated 4.9 years to cover 75 percent of the population with a two-dose vaccine." And for insight into when numbers could spike again in the States, check out This Is Exactly When We'll See the Next COVID Surge, Experts Warn.
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